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AGENDA: PRECONFERENCE SYMPOSIUM
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
7:00 a.m. Summit Registration Commences
Preconference Session
PRECONFERENCE I
8:30 a.m. Predictive Modeling Basics and Beyond: An in-depth workshop covering Health Care Predictive Analytics fundamental concepts, as well as how these concepts relate to some more advanced applications.

Ian Duncan, FSA, FIA, FCIA, MAAA
Visiting Associate Professor, Department of Probability and Applied Statistics, University of California Santa Barbara, and Founder, Solucia Consulting, Santa Barbara, CA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
12:00 p.m. Networking Luncheon for Preconference Attendees

AGENDA: DAY I
Tuesday, November 8, 2011
1:00 p.m. Opening Plenary Session-Welcome and Introductions

Ian Duncan, FSA, FIA, FCIA, MAAA
Visiting Associate Professor, Department of Probability and Applied Statistics, University of California Santa Barbara, and Founder, Solucia Consulting, Santa Barbara, CA (Co chair)
1:15 p.m. Session I: The Importance of Predictive Modeling and Health Care Analytics for Reform and System Transformation-Examining the Alphabet Soup of PM applied to ACOs, PCMHs, HIXs, MU and More.

Jonathan P. Weiner, DrPH
Professor of Health Policy and Management and Health Informatics and Executive Director of the ACG Research and Development Team, The Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
2:00 p.m. Session II: Bending the Cost Curve: The Evolving Nature of Predictive Modeling-Implications of ACA and the evolving set of health plan-provider contractual arrangements

H. Scott Sarran MD, MM
Chief Medical Officer, Blue Cross Blue Shield of Illinois, Chicago, IL
Permission to post not granted
2:45 p.m. Session III: Predictive Models and Productivity-How employers use predictive model results to create programs identifying members with chronic diseases and create partnerships to steer members into appropriate care settings

Russell D. Robbins, MD, MBA
Principal and Senior Clinical Consultant, Mercer, Inc., Norwalk, CT
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
3:30 p.m. Coffee Break in the Exhibit Hall
4:00 p.m. Session IV: The Next Frontier: Predictive Models at the Point of Care

Tom McGraw
Senior Vice President, Government Program Integrity, OptumInsight, Waltham, MA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
4:45 p.m. Session V: What the Rules Can't See...Can Hurt You-Understanding the level of improper payments missed in your current system and how to utilize predictive analytics to substantially reduce fraud and other improper payment

Bill Fox, JD, MA
Senior Director, Health Care Solutions, LexisNexis, Alpharetta, GA

Ken Cunningham
Vice President and Segment General Manager, LexisNexis, Ellensburg, WA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
5:30 p.m. Session VI: Informing Decision Making with Predictive Modeling: Avoidable Diabetic Hospitalization

Swati Abbot
Chief Executive Officer, Blue Health Intelligence, Chicago, IL
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
6:15 p.m. Adjournment and Networking Reception in the Exhibit Hall




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