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AGENDA: PRECONFERENCE SYMPOSIA
Thursday, December 13, 2007

7:00 a.m.

Summit Registration Commences
8:00 a.m. Preconference I: Predictive Modeling Basics, Strategies and Demonstrating Value

Ian Duncan, FSA, MAAA
President, Solucia Inc., Farmington, CT
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

Christine Lang, MBA
Senior Director, Data and Product Strategy, OCS, Seattle, WA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
12:00 p.m. Preconference Adjournment

AGENDA: DAY I
Thursday, December 13, 2007
1:00 p.m. Opening Plenary Session - Welcome and Introductions

Ian Duncan, FSA, MAAA
President, Solucia Inc., Farmington, CT (Co-Chair)
1:15 p.m. Keynote: Evidence-based Care Management: The Landscape for Predictive Models

Paul H. Keckley, PhD
Executive Director, Deloitte Center for Health Solutions, Washington DC
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
2:00 p.m. Keynote: Employer Adoption and Promotion of Predictive Modeling

Russell D. Robbins, MD, MBA
Principal & Senior Clinical Consultant, Mercer, Norwalk, CT
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
2:45 p.m. Break
3:00 p.m. Concurrent Sessions I

1.01 Basics and Administrative Track: P&C's Predictive Modeling Evolution Points to Health Care's Revolution

John Houston
Partner, Deloitte Consulting, Boston, MA

Chris Stehno, MBA
Senior Manager, Deloitte Consulting, Chicago, IL
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

1.02 Actuarial Applications Track: Control Cost and Maintain Choice with Risk Adjustment

Michael Mellenthin, MD
President, Predictive Health Cost Solutions, LLC, Menlo Park, CA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

1.03 Innovations and Consumer Driven Track: The New Frontier - Incorporating Lab Values and HRAs into Predictive Models

Christian Birkmeyer
Chief Operating Officer, Solucia Inc., Farmington, CT
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

Ian Duncan, FSA, MAAA
President, Solucia Inc, Farmington, CT (Co-Chair)

1.04 Health Plan Populations Track: Applying Pharmacy Data to Design Innovative Care Management Interventions in Medicaid Populations

David Bodycombe, ScD
Assistant Scientist, JHU Bloomberg School of PH, Baltimore, MD

Martha Sylvia, RN, MSN, MBA
Manager of Clinical Outcomes and Research, Johns Hopkins HealthCare, Glen Burnie, MD
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

1.05 Clinical Applications Track: Predictive Modeling of Emergency Department Operations: Effect of Patients' Length of Stay on ED Diversion

Alexander Kolker, PhD
Process Improvement Specialist, Froedtert Hospital, Milwaukee, WI
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
4:00 p.m. Transition Break
4:15 p.m. Concurrent Sessions II

2.01 Basics and Administrative Track: Legal Review of Obtaining Data Testing and Using New Models in Production

Bruce W. Foudree, Esq.
Of Counsel, Locke Lord Bissell & Liddell LLP, Chicago, IL

Patrick J. Hatfield, Esq.
Partner, Locke Lord Bissell & Liddell LLP, Atlanta, GA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

2.02 Actuarial Applications Track: Using Predictive Modeling to Enhance Group Underwriting

Anju Joglekar, PhD
Senior Scientist, DxCG, Boston, MA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)

2.03 Innovations and Consumer Driven Track: Expanding the Reach of Predictive Models: How Can you Combine Data from Various Sources Including Clinical, HRA, and Consumer Data

Dan Dunn
Senior Vice President Research and Development, Eden Prairie, MN

2.04 Health Plan Populations Track: Disease Surveillance after Hurricane Katrina: Use of Predictive Modeling by a Medicare Advantage Health Plan

Richard Lieberman
Principal, Health Data Services, Inc., Baltimore, MD
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

2.05 Clinical Applications Track: Using Predictive Models to Identify Potential Underutilization and Overutilization

Richard Bernstein, MD
Senior Medical Director, Data Analytics, CareAdvantage, Inc., Iselin, NJ
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
5:15 p.m. Transition Break
5:30 p.m. Concurrent Sessions III

3.01 Basics and Administrative Track: Predictive Analytics for Healthcare Prepayment Fraud Detection

Anu Pathria, PhD
Vice President, Fair Isaac, San Diego, CA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

3.02 Actuarial Applications Track: Quantifying Risk of Disability and Death using Medical Claims Data

Gregory S. Binns, PhD
President, TruRisk, LLC, Lake Forest, IL
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

3.03 Innovations and Consumer Driven Track: Claims Prediction Model and the Simulation of Health Savings Account (HSA) Performance

Vincent Kane, FSA, MAAA
Research Scientist, DxCG, Boston, MA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)

3.04 Health Plan Populations Track: Verification of Predictive Modeling in the Management of Rare, Chronic Diseases

Jason Cooper, MS
Director, Analytics & Outcomes, Accordant, a CVS Caremark Company, Greensboro, NC

Alex Marano
Research Analyst, Analytics & Outcomes, Accordant, a CVS Caremark Company, Greensboro, NC

Daryl Wansink, PhD
Senior Informatics Scientist, Independence Blue Cross, Philadelphia, PA
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)

3.05 Predictive Modeling: Managing Cost and Outcome of Post Hospital Care

Reg Warren, PhD
Chief Science Officer, SeniorMetrix, Inc, Brentwood, TN
Presentation Material (Acrobat)
Presentation Material (Powerpoint)
6:30 p.m. Adjournment and Opening Networking Reception




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